One Shot One Kill Model
Also: OSOK, One Shot One Kill
A comprehensive short-term trading procedure that blends macro analysis, higher-timeframe PD array matrix identification, seasonal tendencies, Commitment of Traders commercial hedging data, inter-market analysis, and intraday execution to identify and execute a single high-conviction trade per week. The model seeks to project both the weekly high and weekly low in advance, entering on one side with a tight stop and holding for the majority of the weekly range. It is named for the intent of needing only one precise entry per week rather than multiple attempts.
Identification12
- Determine current or next quarterly shift direction
- Identify higher-timeframe PD arrays and IPDA data ranges (20, 40, 60 trading days back)
- Assess interest rate differentials and bond market profile (trending vs. consolidating)
- Check seasonal tendencies for the pair being traded
- Perform swing analysis on higher timeframes down to the 60-minute chart
- Anticipate specific weekly profile template (Monday high, Tuesday high, Wednesday reversal, etc.)
- Identify premium and discount ranges in price action
- Wait for volatility signal indicating range expansion is imminent (market transitioning from small to large range)
- Confirm with COT commercial hedging data for smart money alignment
- Frame a low-resistance liquidity run with opposing PD arrays
- Use Fibonacci levels converging with opposing PD arrays blended with time and price
- Confirm with inter-market analysis
Entry5
- Look for specific manipulation on the day the weekly high or low is expected to form
- Sell at premium PD array after London projectionay stage on anticipated high-of-week day
- Buy at discount PD array after London projectionay stage on anticipated low-of-week day
- Use FIB measurement from London high/low to retracement to project the weekly extreme
- Intraday entry can be refined with day-trade killzone concepts for tighter stops
Stop3
- Below the discount PD array for longs
- Above the premium PD array for shorts
- Can use day-trade entries to dramatically reduce stop distance relative to the weekly range target
Target3
- Projected weekly high or low based on IPDA data ranges and PD array matrix
- Fibonacci extensions (1.27, 1.618) and 100% measured move from identified swing
- Opposing PD array on the weekly or daily timeframe
Invalidation4
- Weekly range forms entirely on Monday or Tuesday at extreme speed without a retracement setup
- Price trades back through Sunday's opening price on Thursday indicating intra-week reversal
- Higher-timeframe opposing PD array is hit mid-week triggering a market reversal profile
- COT data diverges from seasonal tendency without technical alignment
Inferred Conditions (Unvalidated)
- Ideal days for weekly high/low formation are Monday, Tuesday, and Wednesday
- Tuesday London Open has approximately 70% probability of creating the low of the week on bullish weeks
- Tuesday London Open has approximately 70% probability of creating the high of the week on bearish weeks
- If Monday has a large range day trading into a premium PD array, it is likely the high of the week
- If Monday has a large range day trading into a discount PD array, it is likely the low of the week
- The weekly range is generally kept by Thursday's New York session
- Friday is typically a small range day unless weekly objectives were not met by Thursday
ICT Quotes
"The gaps that remain for this month are filled in with the intraday concepts for day trading. And it just basically helps you get more precise. Do you need it? Not necessarily? Will you want it? Most likely?"
"you should already know a majority of what I'm going to refer to here, procedurally. So this is the reason why you need to have a mentorship. This is the reason why I had to have a modular approach to learning. Because there's such a vast amount of information that you need to be aware of."
"How's that for an oxymoron? The point is in this teaching, we have a way of looking at price blending concepts together using experience obviously, okay, but over time, seeing it study in hindsight, you can look at 10 15 20 years worth of data and get to these outcomes"
Timeframes
Version History2 versions
65-ICT Mentorship Core Content - Month 7 - Short Term Trading Using Monthly and Weekly Ranges.srt
"The one shot one kill setup. This is my bread and butter. This is the one that has consistent setups every single week. There's something to trade off, but you have to go through the process of waitin…"
Conceptual framing of OSOK within the higher-timeframe cascade and weekly range model. Month 7, Lesson 1 (file 65) provides the top-down process from monthly PD array to 1-hour execution; file 72 provides the full procedural checklist.
72-ICT Mentorship Core Content - Month 7 - One Shot One Kill Model.srt
""one shot one kill setups. What does it require to do these efficiently and successfully? Well, first, you have to know all the macro conditions, and all the January content lessons. You have to be pr…"
Initial formal mentorship definition of the full procedural model
Notes
The OSOK model is an integrating framework rather than a single pattern. It requires mastery of all prior ICT concepts including: quarterly shift, IPDA data ranges, PD array matrix, market maker manipulation templates, weekly profiles, seasonal tendencies, COT analysis, and intraday killzone execution. ICT states he was one pip off the projected weekly high (10908 called, 10909 actual) and five pips off the weekly low (10650 called, 10655 actual) on the Euro Dollar during the recording week of late March 2017. Month 7 Lessons 1–6 (files 65–70) provide the building blocks: higher-timeframe sequence (file 65), weekly range profiles (file 66), market maker manipulation templates (file 67), IPDA/PD array blending (file 68), low resistance liquidity runs in consolidation (file 69), and low resistance liquidity runs in trending conditions (file 70). File 72 synthesizes all of these into the full procedural OSOK model. See also: one-shot-one-kill.yaml (covers files 65–70 context), higher-timeframe-sequence.yaml, weekly-range-profile.yaml, market-maker-manipulation-template.yaml, low-resistance-liquidity-run.yaml.
Asymmetry Notes
Fully symmetrical — buy and sell setups use identical logic applied in reverse. Weekly high projection for shorts mirrors weekly low projection for longs.